From 2012 through 2017, one investment looked almost magical.
The returns were astonishing:
2012: +110%
2013: +180%
2014: +135%
2015: -14%
2016: +40%
2017: +187%
More than 700% cumulative returns.
It was effectively betting that market volatility would stay low.
People thought they'd found a money-printing machine.
Then on February 5, 2018, everything changed.
The S&P 500 fell roughly 4%, which is a bad day, but not historically extraordinary.
The volatility index, however, saw on if it's largest single-day jumps on record.
This event is remembered as “Volmageddon“ and XIV lost 96% of it's value before it stopped trading.
I’m writing this because I’ve come across people that have told me they sell vol as a low risk way to create investment returns of ~ 20% a year.
Please don’t do that 👍